Budget Alarm: SNAP Penalties Land In 2028

Sign indicating SNAP benefits are accepted at the grocery store

Beginning in 2028, states with high food stamp payment errors will have to pay part of the benefits bill — a first in the program’s history.

Story Snapshot

  • New law ties state payments to food stamp error rates starting in fiscal year 2028.
  • States above 6% errors must cover 5% to 15% of benefits, depending on how high the errors are.
  • Federal support for administrative costs drops to 25% in 2027, shifting work and costs to states.
  • Advocates warn the law could cut aid and strain local governments; over 30 states may be hit.

What The Law Changes And When It Starts

Congress passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act in 2025, and it rewires food stamp funding rules in key ways. Starting in fiscal year 2028, states with payment error rates at or above six percent must pay a share of benefit costs. The share rises in tiers with higher errors: five percent, then ten percent, then fifteen percent at the top end. The law also gives states a choice. They can use either their 2025 or 2026 error rate for their 2028 requirement, whichever is lower.

Lawmakers built in a narrow delay for the worst performers. If a state’s 2025 rate, multiplied by one and a half, reaches at least twenty percent, the cost-sharing starts in fiscal year 2029. This carveout gives a small group one extra year to fix problems. The change is unusual for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program because states have not had to pay benefit costs tied to errors before. That shift brings new pressure on state agencies and their contractors.

How Much States May Owe — And Why The Stakes Feel Bigger

The law layers a second money shift on top of the benefit match. Beginning in fiscal year 2027, the federal government will pay only twenty-five percent of administrative costs. States must pick up the other seventy-five percent. County groups warn that nine out of ten county-run systems will feel a sharp budget hit and more red tape under this change. Anti-hunger groups call the package the biggest food stamp cut in a generation, which shapes how the public hears the news.

Payment error rates jumped in recent years, which broadens the impact. Advocacy materials say more than thirty states sit above the new six percent trigger, putting many on the hook when the tiers begin. One example often cited is West Virginia at 6.6 percent in 2025, which would put it in the five percent match tier if that rate stands in 2028. Some estimates project large state liabilities, including nine figures for the largest states, though projections vary by caseload.

Supporters Say Accountability; Critics See Punishment By Complexity

Supporters argue the rule finally gives states a real reason to cut errors that waste funds and weaken trust. They say taxpayers should not reward sloppy administration. The law’s tiered system aims to push steady improvement without a one-size penalty. Critics reply that the policy treats complex eligibility rules and aging systems like willful mistakes. They note there is no clear proof that financial penalties alone reduce error rates in this program’s past.

County leaders warn that heavy new paperwork, technology work, and hiring needs may actually drive errors up before they go down. Anti-hunger groups caution that if states respond by slowing approvals or adding hurdles, families could lose access to food help even when eligible. School nutrition groups add that lower enrollment can ripple into school meal eligibility and hurt children in low-income homes. These concerns echo a shared fear that top-down fixes can backfire on the people who need help most.

Maryland Allegations Spotlight The Incentive Risks

Maryland offers a test case for how strong incentives can twist behavior. Local reporting says whistleblowers claimed state officials discussed ways to exploit timing rules to delay penalties tied to high error rates, though state leaders denied wrongdoing and investigations are ongoing. The same reports note Maryland cut its error rate by a large share but still sat above six percent, which would keep it in the penalty zone if levels remain high. None of these allegations have produced public findings to date.

Fraud cases, such as theft of electronic benefit funds and retailer scams, add noise to the error picture and make fixes harder. States argue that not all errors reflect bad casework; some reflect crime or system bugs outside worker control. Without a clear, public method document from the federal agency that defines what counts as a payment error, both sides fill in the gaps with their own storylines. That vacuum fuels mistrust across political lines and feeds the sense that elites play by their own rules.

What To Watch Next In Your State

Watch three markers as fiscal year 2028 nears. First, final 2026 error rates will decide many states’ 2028 match level under the “pick the lower year” option. Second, state budgets in 2027 will reveal how leaders plan to absorb the seventy-five percent share of administrative costs. Third, track whether states streamline eligibility rules, upgrade technology, and improve staffing, or instead tighten access in ways that cut rolls but do not fix accuracy.

Sources:

reason.com, lulac.org, naco.org, feedingamericaaction.org, youtube.com, foxbaltimore.com