Marc Lotter, CNN analyst and former Trump campaign official, sees concerning numbers for Democrats in battleground states. According to Lotter, early voting numbers reveal gaps that Democrats may not overcome, particularly as Republicans prepare to vote on Election Day.
“The math doesn’t work,” Lotter said, pointing to a 1.7 million deficit in urban early votes across these swing states. Urban areas have historically favored Democrats, making this shortfall a significant challenge. Additionally, Lotter explained that Democrats are behind by 1.4 million votes among women voters — another core constituency the party has typically counted on in close races.
BREAKING: “The margins don't add up right now for the Democrats in any of these battleground states," according to former VP press secretary Marc Lotter. pic.twitter.com/1PKn8qF54C
— Leading Report (@LeadingReport) November 5, 2024
Lotter said that with these numbers, Democrats might face an uphill battle in crucial states. Meanwhile, rural voters, who tend to support Republicans, have “overperformed early by 300,000.” This rural strength provides a critical edge for Republicans as they head into Election Day.
Traditionally, Republicans see higher turnout on Election Day, while Democrats need strong early voting numbers to build momentum. With the current numbers, Democrats may not have the early advantage they depend on, making their path to victory in battleground states uncertain.
"The numbers don't add up [for the democrats]"
Their only move is to cheat. We all know it's coming.pic.twitter.com/Wcm2KMxPEw
— Jimmy™ (@jimomics) November 5, 2024
If GOP voters show up today in large numbers, President Donald Trump could capture the critical states needed to win, creating an opportunity to roll back the Biden administration’s policies.
