Trump Leads Haley By 29% In Her Home State

Former President Donald Trump holds a decisive lead — with a margin of 29% — over former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley (R) in her home state, according to the latest 2024 Republican presidential primary poll released Friday by Emerson College.

The Jan. 5 poll of South Carolina voters found 54% of likely Republican primary voters there back Donald Trump while 25% support Nikki Haley in the GOP nominating contest. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) polled at 7%, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 5% and pharmaceuticals businessman Vivek Ramaswamy at 3%.

“The current state of the race in South Carolina finds Trump as the frontrunner with Haley as his main opponent,” said Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling. “A key question arising from this poll is whether Haley can mobilize ample support in her home state before the primary, in the case the race becomes more competitive after New Hampshire.”

“The current state of the race in South Carolina finds Trump as the front-runner with Haley as his main opponent. DeSantis has seen a decline in support, and similar to our New Hampshire poll has faded into the pack with single-digit support,” Kimball added.

Trump’s lead in South Carolina is more decisive when accounting for the Emerson poll’s finding that his support is strongest among those most likely to vote in the Feb. 24, first-in-the-south presidential primary. Meanwhile, Haley is doing better with independent voters in her home state, among whom she leads Trump by 4% (37% – 33%).

The former president’s lead among Republicans in The Palmetto State is overwhelming, with 62% of registered Republicans backing Trump and 21% supporting Haley. The former South Carolina governor is betting her 2024 campaign on winning the early primary in her home state to build momentum nationwide.

Nationwide, Trump is polling as the decisive frontrunner in the Republican primary, leading the other contenders with the support of 62.7% of likely primary voters, according to the Real Clear Politics polling average Friday. The former president also leads President Joe Biden in the general election head-to-head poll nationwide among youth and Hispanic voting blocs.