In a state the GOP has not won in over 20 years, President Donald Trump is closing in on Vice President Kamala Harris in New Hampshire, making the traditionally Democratic state unexpectedly competitive. An Emerson College/WHDH poll conducted from Oct. 21-23 shows Harris ahead by just three points, securing 50% of likely voter support while Trump follows with 47%. Third-party candidates receive 2%, and 1% remain undecided.
This tight race shows Trump gaining momentum in a state where Biden held a 7% advantage in 2020. Polling indicates a shift among male voters toward Trump, while Harris retains support among women, mirroring Biden’s 2020 results.
Spencer Kimball of Emerson College Polling commented, “Male voters have shifted about two points toward Trump, while Harris’ support among women remains consistent with Biden’s numbers.” However, Harris is underperforming Biden’s 2020 showing with independent voters, holding only a 13-point advantage compared to Biden’s wider lead among this group.
Economic issues dominate the discussion among New Hampshire voters. A significant 34% of respondents cite the economy as their top concern, with 26% mentioning housing affordability. Trump’s emphasis on job creation and tackling inflation may appeal to these voters, while Harris will need to address these concerns to maintain her standing.
In addition to the tight race in New Hampshire, Harris faces challenges in other states. An Arab News/YouGov poll shows Trump edging her out among Arab American voters nationwide, with 45% support compared to Harris’ 43%. Her team is also concerned about her standing in critical swing states like Michigan, where Arab American and Muslim communities could play a pivotal role.
A Wall Street Journal poll now places Trump slightly ahead of Harris nationally, with 47% support to her 45%. The race is tightening as the election nears, making these final weeks critical for both campaigns.
