Haley Depends On NH Democrat Votes, Still Loses Big

In the wake of the New Hampshire primary, the political landscape is becoming increasingly clear, as former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley faces an increasingly difficult uphill battle in her campaign against President Donald Trump for the Republican nomination. A CNN exit poll revealed a startling fact — approximately 70% of Haley’s supporters in the New Hampshire primary were not registered Republicans.

The number stands as evidence of claims that thousands of Democrats who would never vote for any Republican candidate in the general election crossed over for a single night to vote for Haley in an attempt to diminish the Trump campaign.

Trump’s victory Tuesday evening was so clear-cut that projections he won the New Hampshire primary were announced within mere minutes of the polls closing. This victory followed Trump’s historic triumph in the Iowa caucuses, where he won by an unprecedented thirty points.

Haley’s reliance on Independents and Democrats in New Hampshire may have backfired, as the state’s electorate does not reflect the broader Republican base. CNN’s David Chalian highlighted the stark contrast in the voter base of Trump and Haley. While 70% of Trump’s supporters were registered Republicans, the same percentage of Haley’s supporters were not affiliated with the Republican party.

Trump’s dominance in the polls is not limited to New Hampshire. Nationally, he leads the RealClearPolitics average of polls with a significant margin over Haley. His strong support base within the party is evident, with new endorsements from influential figures like Sens. John Cornyn (R-TX) and Debbie Fischer (R-NE) immediately following his victory in New Hampshire.

Looking ahead, Haley faces a challenging path. South Carolina, her home state and the site of the next major contest, presents a different electorate than New Hampshire. The state’s voters are more conservative and evangelical, a demographic where Trump has shown immense strength. In contrast, Haley’s support in New Hampshire came primarily from moderate and liberal voters. This group is far less prevalent in South Carolina.

Unlike her 2010 primary for South Carolina governor, where she had the support of prominent conservative figures, this time, she faces a lack of support from key Republicans in her home state. Trump’s endorsements from the state’s political figures further solidify his position as the favored candidate.

Trump’s campaign, with its strong base and consistent polling leads, appears to be on an inevitable path to the Republican nomination. Haley’s strategy of leveraging support from independents and Democrats, while successful in New Hampshire, is unlikely to be viable in the more traditionally Republican states.